Project Westfield
PROJECT WESTFIELD
Macroeconomic indicators After many years of record-low Danish un employment levels, the unemployment rate has slowly started to increase. Danske Bank expects unemployment to increase from 2.6% in 2022 to 2.9% in 2023. This is a rela tively small increase considering the expec tations for the overall economy, and there is still likely an unfulfilled demand for labour. Consumer spending decreased by 1.6% in
2022, but there are prospects of increases in 2023 and 2024 at 0.6% and 1.7%, respectively. The positive outlook in consumer spending is highly affected by positive trends in both wages and inflation expectations. Wages has increased by 3.6% in Q2 2023 compared to Q2 2022, and inflation is expected to de crease from 7.7% in 2022 to 4.1% in 2023 and 3.2% in 2024, which will result in an increased purchasing power.
DENMARK
EUROZONE
2022
2023E
2024E
2022
2023E
2024E
Unemployment 1
2.6
2.9
3.4
6.7
6.7
6.7
Private consumption 2
-1.6
0.6
1.7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Export 2
10.8
5.7
1.2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Inflation 2
7.7
4.1
3.2
8.4
5.3
2.8
Public debt 3
30.1
27.4
25.7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Note: 1. % of labour force, 2. % y/y, 3. % of GDP. Source: Danske Bank per 30. June 2023
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